Remote effects of tropical cyclones on heavy rainfall over the Korean peninsula - Statistical and composite analysis
Abstract
This study investigates the remote effects of tropical cyclones (TCs) on heavy rainfall (HR) over the Korean
peninsula through statistical and composite analyses for 1981-2009. Statisticalanal ysis indicates that the
29-year mean annualrainfal l occurring with TCs within 3000 km of Korea is 658 mm, 49% of the 29-year total
mean annualrainfal lof 1340 mm. About 32% of the totalmean annualamount occurs with TCs within the
range of 1200-2800 km. The probability of HR over the peninsula is higher with TCs that make landfall on
southern and eastern China compared to other regions. In the HR composite, the synoptic-scale pressure
pattern during the remote TC events is characterised by a synoptic-scale trough to the northwest, a western
Pacific subtropicalhigh (WPSH) to the southeast and a TC to the southwest of the Korean peninsula. This
pattern results in a region of strong rising motion located beneath the upper-level jet (ULJ) entrance region,
concurrent with a region of convective instability enhanced by strong moisture transport and quasi-geostrophic
(QG) forcing for ascent by warm-air advection. The composite analysis shows that remote TCs can influence
HR over the peninsula by helping to establish a convectively unstable environment and a large-scale
convergence of air.
Keywords: remote effects; tropical cyclones; heavy rainfall; statistical analysis; composite analysis
(Published: 17 January 2012)
Citation: Tellus A 2012, 64, 14983, DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.14983
peninsula through statistical and composite analyses for 1981-2009. Statisticalanal ysis indicates that the
29-year mean annualrainfal l occurring with TCs within 3000 km of Korea is 658 mm, 49% of the 29-year total
mean annualrainfal lof 1340 mm. About 32% of the totalmean annualamount occurs with TCs within the
range of 1200-2800 km. The probability of HR over the peninsula is higher with TCs that make landfall on
southern and eastern China compared to other regions. In the HR composite, the synoptic-scale pressure
pattern during the remote TC events is characterised by a synoptic-scale trough to the northwest, a western
Pacific subtropicalhigh (WPSH) to the southeast and a TC to the southwest of the Korean peninsula. This
pattern results in a region of strong rising motion located beneath the upper-level jet (ULJ) entrance region,
concurrent with a region of convective instability enhanced by strong moisture transport and quasi-geostrophic
(QG) forcing for ascent by warm-air advection. The composite analysis shows that remote TCs can influence
HR over the peninsula by helping to establish a convectively unstable environment and a large-scale
convergence of air.
Keywords: remote effects; tropical cyclones; heavy rainfall; statistical analysis; composite analysis
(Published: 17 January 2012)
Citation: Tellus A 2012, 64, 14983, DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.14983
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Tellus Series A eISSN 1600-0870 (print volumes from 1949 – 2011: ISSN 0280-6495)
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